And Then It Was Only One

Well, now it’s final, nobody left but Trump.

Granted, Kasich should have dropped out weeks ago, but after he made it this far, he could have stuck a little longer. Or what do you think?

Ted Cruz Dropping Out

I did not see this one coming.

As reported by PoliticoTed Cruz is dropping out of the race for the Republican nomination.

I guess the singing Fiorina wasn’t enough to save the sinking ship.

The move is still surprising though, after all Cruz had an almost prefect track-record in the so-called “shadow-primary”  that secured him many loyal delegates even in states that Trump had previously won. (But then you need to make it to a second ballot in Cleveland for those to come into play.)

So now we have the unlikeliest of unlikely scenarios: Donald Trump and John Kasich are the only two remaining GOP-contenders.

Seems like there won’t be a contested convention after all.

Would Donald Trump Be a Lannister?

In honor of tonight’s start of season six of Game of enlisted a political science professor to tell us which Westeros-characters the 2016 presidential candidates would be.

Could Trump be a Lannister? Is there a real life version of Walder Frey? And who would be Jon Snow?

Screen Shot 2016-04-23 at 9.24.00 PM
Screenshot ©

They are spot on with their description of Bernie Sanders, so go ahead and check out their full analysis here.


How Every New York City Neighborhood Voted

By now you must have spent the last 24 hours on the moon to not know that Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump each won decisive victories in yesterday’s New York primaries.

With 99% of the precincts reported, Clinton got 58% of the vote compared to Sanders 42%. This 16%-lead means she received 39 delegates more than her opponent, which leaves Sanders little possibility to still win the nomination.

Trump scored even bigger, he got 64.8%  and almost all of the 95 Republican delegates up for grabs – 89. John Kasich came in a distant second, with 25.1% and 4 delegates. Ted Cruz – who refused to apologize for his New York Values comments – did not receive a single delegate, because he failed to meet the 20% threshold.

If you want to get all this in more detail, the New York Times created an awesome feature, where you can look up every single neighborhood in New York City.

Screen Shot 2016-04-20 at 8.42.21 PM
Screenshot © New York Times

As you can see, Hillary won large patches of Brooklyn, which shows that having the loudest supporters doesn’t necessarily mean you have the most.

My favorite example on the Republican side: Donald Trump won Trump Tower and the couple of Fifth Avenue blocks around it.

Hit your zip code to find out how your neighbors voted.

[New York Times]

Don’t Forget to Vote, New York

Only one more day before the primary circus moves on. And yes, with all the media craze and constant rallies we had in the last two weeks, it’s about time.

But before that, there is one important thing to do: go and vote!

To be prepared, here are the four most important points from my guide on how to vote in the New York primary.

  • Where do I need to go on Primary Day?
    Use the online Poll Site Locator to find your polling site.
  • What if I am at work and can’t get to vote?
    According to New York election law, you can take up to two hours at the beginning or end of your shift (with pay) to vote if you do not have sufficient time outside of work to vote.The law considers four consecutive hours between your shift and the opening/closing of the polls as sufficient time. If you need to take work off, you need to inform your employer at least two days before the primary.
  • Can I decide spontaneously in which primary I want to vote?
    No. New York State has closed primaries, that means you can vote only in the primary of the party you are registered for.
  • Who can I vote for?
    The Democrats have two candidates on the ballot: Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.The Republicans have six candidates on the ballot, even though some of them have already suspended their campaign: Donald J. Trump, Jeb Bush, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, Ben Carson and Ted Cruz.
    You can only vote for these listed candidates, in the primary there aren’t any write-ins.

New Poll: Trump Leads 50+ in NY

Donald Trump is all set to win his home state New York by a big margin.

Monmouth University Poll released today states that – as of now –  52% of likely Republican primary voters will vote for the real estate mogul.

According to the poll, John Kasich will receive 25% of the New York vote, followed by Ted Cruz with 17%.

Trump is helped by an election rule in the Republican primary: If you win more than 50% in a congressional district, you get all of the three delegates from that district.

“If this result holds in every single congressional district, Trump will walk away with nearly all of New York State’s delegates,” said Patrick Murray, the director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute.

[Monmouth University Poll]

Meet the Next First Family

Screen Shot 2016-03-25 at 4.12.55 PM
Screen Shot

My NYU-classmate just wrote this cute guide: “Everything You Need to Know About the First Families of This Election” for Marie Claire.

So if you are dying to learn more about the better halves, children and grandchildren of the next president, check it out.

[Marie Claire]

Grim Day for Rubio as Trump and Clinton Win Big

Marco Rubio has suspended his presidential campaign after he lost big time to Donald Trump in his home state Florida. The charismatic senator was seen by many as the last chance to build an establishment coalition against Trump.

Ohio governor John Kasich managed to win his home state tonight, which might slow down Trump, because it’s a winner-takes-all-state, but doesn’t do Kasich himself much good (he has even less delegates than Rubio).

So once again, Donald Trump was the big winner of the night: He won Florida, Illinois, North Carolina and Missouri (each with 40+ %).

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton managed to cement her lead over Bernie Sanders. Clinton won all five contest: Florida, Ohio, Missouri, Illinois  and North Carolina. Afterwards, she shifted her focus to the general election  by attacking Trump in her victory speech.

[New York Times]

And Yet Another Super Tuesday

It’s match day in primary politics tomorrow, with yet another Tuesday full of voting. And while this isn’t officially Super Tuesday, it sure feels like it – especially for Republicans.

Five states are voting tomorrow, and two of them – Ohio and Florida – are GOP winner-take-all states.  Together they are worth 165 delegates and are seen by many as one of the last resorts to stop Donald Trump. Both Marco Rubio and John Kasich are playing their homeboy-cards, but polls are predicting an uphill battle.

Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina and the North Marina Islands (only GOP) are also voting tomorrow. Let’s see what the day brings.

Out-Of-Towners Push Their Candidates

Hillary phone bank
Three of the eight volunteers working in the Hillary Clinton campaign office in Manchester, NH, are from New York.

Before Hillary Clinton launched in her campaign speech last Friday night at a New Hampshire fundraiser, she made sure to thank the “thousands of volunteers” who braved the bitter cold to get out the vote for her.

“I know how hard you are working. Across the state [you bring] your dreams and determination into this effort, knocking on doors in the winter cold,” Clinton said.

On the eve of the primary, the Democratic as well as the Republican candidates rely on thousands of volunteers working for them in the Granite State. Some are locals; many are not. In fact, many of the out-of-towners who flocked to New Hampshire this weekend were from New York.

Read my full story on New Hampshire Chronicles, NYU’s live blog about the New Hampshire primary.